Lyon v Celta Vigo

The match is currently 0-0 at minute 37'. Lyon has a red card, which significantly disadvantages them. Celta Vigo has dominated possession (62%) and shots (2 on goal, 3 total) compared to Lyon (0 on goal, 1 total). Despite Celta Vigo's statistical advantage, the odds for Over 3.5 goals (9.0) are very high, suggesting a low probability of a high-scoring game. The odds for Over 2.5 goals are 3.6, which is above the 2.0 threshold, but given the current score and the red card, the probability of three or more goals being scored in the remaining time is not sufficiently high to justify a bet. Under 2.5 goals is priced at 1.36, which is below the 2.0 threshold. There is no clear value bet available at odds >= 2.0.