Lyon v Celta Vigo

The match is currently 0-0 at minute 39. Lyon has a red card, which significantly disadvantages them. Celta Vigo has better possession and shots on goal (2 vs 0). The API-Football data shows Celta Vigo having a historical edge (80% H2H) and better goal-scoring potential (67% goals). However, the live situation with Lyon's red card makes predicting a high-scoring game (Over 3.5) extremely risky, and the odds for Over 3.5 are very high (10.0). Conversely, Under 2.5 goals at 1.33 is too low. While Celta Vigo is in a dominant position live, the lack of goals so far and the red card situation make it difficult to confidently back Over 2.5 at odds of 3.9, as it's still relatively early and the game could become more defensive or Celta might not capitalize. No clear value bet with odds >= 2.0 is present.